Resignations Hammer Starmer: How Makerfield is Impacted
5 min read
BY William Collinson
June 12, 2026
The current centre of gravity in British politics is the Makerfield parliamentary constituency in Greater Manchester. Since Labour's disastrous local election results last month, this new centre of gravity had, until yesterday, largely silenced criticism and conflict within the Labour Party. The route to Keir Starmer's replacement had seemingly been declared, with Andy Burnham's return to Parliament and subsequent leadership challenge viewed by many as the party's next chapter.
“(UK’s defence investment plan) falls well short of what is required for defence and the country at this dangerous time.”
(John Healey Resignation Letter 11th June 2026)
Discontent had therefore appeared to dissipate; for many disgruntled Labour MPs, the feeling was that it would all be over soon. However, this calm before the storm of an impending leadership challenge was shattered by the resignations of Defence Secretary John Healey and Armed Forces Minister Al Carns over what they described as inadequate funding for the Defence Investment Plan.
While this is clearly bad news for Starmer, who by many accounts is on his way out, the impact on the seismic Makerfield by-election must also be considered. A vote for Labour in this by-election is, fascinatingly, a vote to replace the Labour Prime Minister whom Healey and Carns have criticised for failing to provide adequate financial backing for Britain's defence.
Might Burnham Bear the Brunt?
This revelation regarding Labour's failure under Starmer to confront Britain's growing security challenges comes at a difficult time for those supporting Burnham's route to No. 10. With one week remaining before the by-election, and with roughly 16% of voters still undecided between Reform UK and Labour, this development is an unwelcome distraction for Burnham's campaign (The Guardian).
Ultimately, the impact of these developments will depend on whether voters blame failures in defence policy on Starmer personally or on the Labour Party as a whole. If it is the latter, Burnham faces a greater challenge in defeating Reform UK's Robert Kenyon. This is particularly significant given the growing importance of defence as a political issue, with voter concern about national security reportedly matching concern for the NHS, both accounting for 29% of mentions in March 2025 (Ipsos).
This is therefore far from an ideal moment for Labour's defence credentials to be called into question. However, voters may view this latest controversy as simply another final example of Starmer's ineffective premiership. Many of those who voted for Reform in the local elections - where the party emerged as the largest across Makerfield's local council contests - may become even more determined to remove Starmer and try something new.
Burnham still faces obstacles, but a by-election victory appears increasingly likely, with Labour polling at 49% (PollCheck). Yet, once in office, Burnham may find it difficult to implement his brand of politics without a clear central driving principle, coherent set of ideas, or strategic direction - qualities that many argue have been lacking throughout Starmer's premiership. Burnham must recognise this dire need if the Labour movement is to have a consequential future.
References
- [The Guardian: Jessica Elgot, 'Power Games in a Pub Garden' (11th June 2026) https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/jun/11/andy-burnham-makerfield-byelection-labour]
- [Ipsos digital (23rd March 2025) https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/defence-rises-become-big-issue-britain-nhs]
- [PollCheck, 'Makerfield By-Election: Candidates, Polls and Result (5th June 2026) https://www.pollcheck.co.uk/by-elections/makerfield]
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